Overview:
Sixers Draft Pick Tracker
Pick | Currently | Protection | Chance to get |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sixers | 3rd | n/a | Guaranteed |
| Lakers | 4th | Top 5 | 17.2% chance the Sixers get it. |
| Heat | 10th | Top 10 | 9.1% chance the Sixers get it |
| Thunder | 14th | Top 18 | Pick will not convey |
(last updated March April 15th, 2015)
Sixers pick (currently 2nd):
- Knicks lost (bad): The Knicks got destroyed by Denver and remain 2 wins worse than the Sixers. They’ve now lost 4 in a row.
- Minnesota lost (bad): Minnesota lost on the road to the Clippers. The Wolves remain tied with the Sixers in the win column, but stay in the 3rd slot due to the Sixers having one more loss.
2015 Top-of-Draft Standings
Team | Record | GB | Last 10 | Remaining: |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wolves | 16-65 | -- | 0-10 | Thunder |
| Knicks | 17-64 | 1.0 | 3-7 | Detroit |
| Sixers | 18-63 | 2.0 | 1-9 | Heat |
Lakers pick (top 5 protected, currently 4th)
- Denver won (bad): Denver’s victory over the Knicks also puts them another win away from the Lakers, as they now have 7 more wins than Los Angeles and sit in the 7th slot.
- Sacramento lost (good): At least Sacramento lost, which keeps the Kings 5 wins up on the Lakers and in that 6th slot.
Lottery Odds - Lakers Pick
(Meaning, if the Lakers end up with the 4th worst record, there's a 17.2% chance that the Sixers will get the pick after the lottery).Finish | % Chance the Sixers get it |
|---|---|
| 1st or 2nd | 0% |
| 3rd | 4% |
| 4th | 17.2% |
| 5h | 44.8% |
| 6th | 78.5% |
Heat pick (top 10 protected, currently 12th):
- Miami lost (bad) / Boston won (bad): Really bad outcome for the Sixers, in my opinion. The Heat loss, combined with Boston’s win, pulls the Celtics (who are in the 10th slot) to within 1.5 games of the 12th-slotted Heat.The Sixers would have a 97.4% chance of getting that pick if the season ended today, but I’m very worried about Boston and/or Brooklyn passing Miami.
- Charlotte lost (bad): I’m assuming the Hornets are going to finish the season with a better record than the Heat.
Standings - Miami Pick
Slot | Team | Record | GB (on Miami) | Last 10 | Remaining |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9th | Hornets | 33-48 | -3.0 | 3-7 | @Raptors |
| 10th | Heat | 36-45 | -- | 3-7 | @Philadelphia |
| 11th | Nets | 37-44 | +1.0 | 6-4 | Orlando |
| 15th | Pacers | 38-43 | +2.0 | 6-4 | @Memphis |
Lottery Odds - Heat Pick
(Meaning, if the Heat end up with the 11th worst record, there's a 97.1% chance that the Sixers will get the pick after the lottery).Finish | % Chance the Sixers get it |
|---|---|
| 8th | ~0.01% |
| 9th | 0.4% |
| 10th | 9.1% |
| 11th | 97.1% |
| 12th | 97.4% |
Oklahoma City Thunder pick (top 18 protected, currently 19th):
- New Orleans won (bad) / Milwaukee lost (good): Either team losing helps the Sixers, as the Milwaukee loss puts the Thunder a full 2 games up on the Bucks for the 17th slot. However, the New Orleans win pulls the Pelicans to within a half-game of the Thunder for that final Western Conference playoff spot.
- Washington won (bad): The Washington win puts the Wizards a half-game up on the idle Thunder for that 19th slot.
- Chicago lost (good): Chicago lost to Memphis, which keeps Chicago slotted 20th, 3 games (4 wins) up on OKC as a fallback plan in case Washington goes on a run. Chicago has now lost 3 in a row as they try to adjust to life without Derrick Rose (again).
Standings - Thunder Pick
Slot | Team | Record | GB (OKC) | Last 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14th | Pelicans | 43-36 | -- | 6-4 |
| Remaining: | @Rockets, @Wolves, Spurs | |||
| 18th | Thunder | 43-36 | -- | 4-6 |
| Remaining: | @Pacers, Blazers, @Wolves | |||
| 19th | Wizards | 45-34 | +2.0 | 5-5 |
| Remaining: | Hawks, @Pacers, @Cavs | |||
| 20th | Raptors | 47-32 | +4.0 | 6-4 |
| Remaining: | @Heat, @Celtics, Hornets | |||
Tonight’s games:
- Orlando @ Indiana: Either outcome is theoretically good. Orlando losing keeps the (slim) chance of the Lakers catching them alive, but the more practical impact is keeping the Pacers ahead of Miami in an effort to keep the Heat pick in the 11-12 range.
- New Orleans @ Brooklyn: Sixers really need both teams to lose which, last I checked, isn’t allowed in the CBA. If the Thunder are healthy, I have more faith in them finishing out the season with a better record than the Pelicans, but man, it would be nice to see them get healthy, and New Orleans has Anthony Davis back and has won 8 of their last 10. The Sixers need the Nets to finish the season with a worse record than the Heat. Either outcome presents legitimate cause for concern.
- New York @ Utah: I expect Utah (slotted 11th) to finish the season strong, but I wouldn’t mind seeing them slip, just to give Miami a little bit more wiggle room between themselves and the top-10, and a New York win is always a nice surprise.
- Detroit @ Lakers: As with New York, a Lakers win is always good, not only for the (slim) hope of getting their pick, but also to keep them from passing the Sixers.
