Sixers Draft Pick Tracker – March 11th, 2015

Overview:

Sixers Draft Pick Tracker

Pick
Currently
Protection
Chance to get
Sixers3rdn/aGuaranteed
Lakers4thTop 517.2% chance the Sixers get it.
Heat10thTop 109.1% chance the Sixers get it
Thunder14thTop 18Pick will not convey
(A + next to a team name means I'm hoping they win, a - next to a team means I'm hoping that they lose)
(last updated March April 15th, 2015)

 

Sixers pick (currently 2nd):

  • Knicks lost (bad): The Knicks spoiled on almost-perfect day by falling to the Jazz. It was closer than I expected, but the loss puts the Knicks 2 games up on the Sixers for the race to the most ping-pong balls.
  • Lakers won (good): They did it! They finally did it! After teasing Sixers fans for the past week, the Lakers pulled off an important win. The loss puts the Sixers 2.5 games up on the Lakers (3 wins) to try to keep them pinned in the 4th slot (or, preferably, worse).

2015 Top-of-Draft Standings

Team
Record
GB
Last 10
Remaining:
Wolves16-65--0-10Thunder
Knicks17-641.03-7Detroit
Sixers18-632.01-9Heat
(last updated April 15th, 2015)

 

Lakers pick (top 5 protected, currently 4th)

  • Lakers won (good): The Lakers win, combined with Orlando’s loss, puts the Lakers within 4 games of the Magic again. Moving out of the 4th spot into the 5th would be huge for the Sixers chances. The Lakers have been playing better of late, and it’s nice to see them not blow a lead down the stretch for a change.
  • Orlando lost (good): Orlando got crushed by the surging Pacers. The Sixers really need the Magic to collapse.

Lottery Odds - Lakers Pick

(Meaning, if the Lakers end up with the 4th worst record, there's a 17.2% chance that the Sixers will get the pick after the lottery).
Finish
% Chance the Sixers get it
1st or 2nd0%
3rd4%
4th17.2%
5h44.8%
6th78.5%

 

Heat pick (top 10 protected, currently 12th):

  • Indiana won (good): Indy has now won 9 of their past 10 and 6 in a row, and, at 29-34, should have Miami in their rear-view mirror from here on out.
  • Brooklyn lost (good): Brooklyn is 9th, and one of the teams that absolutely cannot pass Miami. While a New Orleans loss would have been good for the OKC pick, it does help the Miami pick considerably. The Nets are on a 4 game losing streak and 3 wins behind Miami.
  • Utah won (bad): I’m putting this down as bad because, in a perfect world, having a little bit of a margin for error would be nice. As it stands, this is a good result as long as neither Brooklyn or Boston pass Miami, I’m just getting nervous that won’t hold true. The Jazz, at 27-36 and 8-2 in their last 10, are only a game behind Miami, and a virtual guarantee to pass the Heat by the end of the season.

Standings - Miami Pick

Slot
Team
Record
GB (on Miami)
Last 10
Remaining
9thHornets33-48-3.03-7@Raptors
10thHeat36-45--3-7@Philadelphia
11thNets37-44+1.06-4Orlando
15thPacers38-43+2.06-4@Memphis
(last updated April 15th, 2015)

Lottery Odds - Heat Pick

(Meaning, if the Heat end up with the 11th worst record, there's a 97.1% chance that the Sixers will get the pick after the lottery).
Finish
% Chance the Sixers get it
8th~0.01%
9th0.4%
10th9.1%
11th97.1%
12th97.4%

 

Oklahoma City Thunder pick (top 18 protected, currently 19th):

  • New Orleans won (bad): New Orleans won, putting them in a tie (and one win up) on the Thunder for the last playoff spot in the West. The next closest Western Conference playoff team to the Thunder is Dallas at 41-25, 6 wins up on OKC. Not good. The positive: OKC is 7-3 in ther last 10, even with Durant missing time. Just need New Orleans to come back down to Earth.

Standings - Thunder Pick

Slot
Team
Record
GB (OKC)
Last 10
14thPelicans43-36--6-4
Remaining:@Rockets, @Wolves, Spurs
18thThunder43-36--4-6
Remaining:@Pacers, Blazers, @Wolves
19thWizards45-34+2.05-5
Remaining:Hawks, @Pacers, @Cavs
20thRaptors47-32+4.06-4
Remaining:@Heat, @Celtics, Hornets
(last updated April 11th, 2015)

 

Tonight’s games:

  • Chicago @ Sixers: Chicago losing a game on OKC isn’t the worst thing in the world, but a Sixers loss is more important.
  • Sacramento @ Charlotte: With how well Utah is playing, a Charlotte loss wouldn’t be the worst thing in the world. That being said, a Sacramento loss keeps them within 4 wins of the Lakers. Either outcome presents both positives and negatives.
  • Memphis @ Boston: Boston needs to lose, as they can’t pass Miami.
  • Brooklyn @ Miami: Big game. A Miami win and a Brooklyn (and Boston) loss could put some much needed breathing room between Miami and a top-10 lottery seed. Hassan Whiteside will miss the game, as he’s serving a 1 game suspension.
  • Orlando @ Milwaukee: Milwaukee losing helps keep them at the 17th slot and away from OKC, but an Orlando loss helps keep the dream of the Lakers pick alive.
  • Clippers @ OKC: With New Orleans surging, the Sixers need OKC wins badly.
  • Atlanta @ Denver: A Denver loss keeps them 6 wins up on the Lakers.
  • Wolves @ Phoenix: Wolves are tied in the win column with the Sixers, so a win would be great. Phoenix has been struggling of late, so this is an opportunity.

About Derek Bodner

Derek Bodner covers the NBA draft for USA Today, is a college basketball scout for DraftExpress.com, a Sixers on-air reporter for 97.3 FM ESPN, as well as an editor at LibertyBallers.com. His writing has also appeared at SBNation.com, Philly.com, RealGM.com, and NBAPlaybook.com, and he has been a guest on 94 WIP, 97.5 FM ESPN, KYW 1060, and CSN Philly. He is a lifelong resident of the Philadelphia area. Contact Information: derek.bodner@draftexpress.com / 215-839-9635 / @DerekBodnerNBA
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