Sixers Draft Pick Tracker – March 13th, 2015

Overview:

Sixers Draft Pick Tracker

Pick
Currently
Protection
Chance to get
Sixers3rdn/aGuaranteed
Lakers4thTop 517.2% chance the Sixers get it.
Heat10thTop 109.1% chance the Sixers get it
Thunder14thTop 18Pick will not convey
(A + next to a team name means I'm hoping they win, a - next to a team means I'm hoping that they lose)
(last updated March April 15th, 2015)

 

Sixers pick (currently 2nd):

  • Knicks won (good) / Lakers lost (bad): The Knicks win does pull the Sixers to within 1 game of the Knicks for the most ping pong balls. I just don’t have much confidence in the Knicks winning more games than the Sixers down the stretch. The Lakers loss keeps them at 3 more wins than the Sixers and in the 4th spot.

2015 Top-of-Draft Standings

Team
Record
GB
Last 10
Remaining:
Wolves16-65--0-10Thunder
Knicks17-641.03-7Detroit
Sixers18-632.01-9Heat
(last updated April 15th, 2015)

 

Lakers pick (top 5 protected, currently 4th)

  • Lakers lost (bad): The Lakers missed a chance to pick up a win on the Magic and remain 4 wins behind them for the 5th slot.

Lottery Odds - Lakers Pick

(Meaning, if the Lakers end up with the 4th worst record, there's a 17.2% chance that the Sixers will get the pick after the lottery).
Finish
% Chance the Sixers get it
1st or 2nd0%
3rd4%
4th17.2%
5h44.8%
6th78.5%

 

Heat pick (top 10 protected, currently 12th):

  • Indiana won (good): Indy beat Milwaukee, which was good for both the Heat pick and the OKC pick. Indy has now won 7 in a row and is a full game up on Miami, and in the 7th seed in the Eastern Conference playoffs.
  • Utah won (good): Utah dominated the Dwight Howard-less Rockets, with Rudy Gobert putting up a monster line (19 points, 22 rebounds, 4 blocks). Utah is now 8-2 in their last 10, on a 4 game winning streak, and a safe bet to pass Miami down the stretch.

Standings - Miami Pick

Slot
Team
Record
GB (on Miami)
Last 10
Remaining
9thHornets33-48-3.03-7@Raptors
10thHeat36-45--3-7@Philadelphia
11thNets37-44+1.06-4Orlando
15thPacers38-43+2.06-4@Memphis
(last updated April 15th, 2015)

Lottery Odds - Heat Pick

(Meaning, if the Heat end up with the 11th worst record, there's a 97.1% chance that the Sixers will get the pick after the lottery).
Finish
% Chance the Sixers get it
8th~0.01%
9th0.4%
10th9.1%
11th97.1%
12th97.4%

 

Oklahoma City Thunder pick (top 18 protected, currently 19th):

  • Milwaukee lost (good): Milwaukee lost. They still have a worse record than the Thunder, and, as long as OKC passes New Orleans, I don’t see them being too much of a concern. If OKC doesn’t pass New Orleans, it doesn’t matter.
  • Washington won (bad): Washington beat the Grizzlies. This puts Washington 1.5 games (and 2 wins) up on OKC. Washington has now won 2 in a row, and them turning their fortunes around would be bad for the Sixers.

Standings - Thunder Pick

Slot
Team
Record
GB (OKC)
Last 10
14thPelicans43-36--6-4
Remaining:@Rockets, @Wolves, Spurs
18thThunder43-36--4-6
Remaining:@Pacers, Blazers, @Wolves
19thWizards45-34+2.05-5
Remaining:Hawks, @Pacers, @Cavs
20thRaptors47-32+4.06-4
Remaining:@Heat, @Celtics, Hornets
(last updated April 11th, 2015)

 

Tonight’s games:

  • Sacramento @ Sixers: The Kings are 5 wins up on the Lakers in the 6th slot, but the Knicks/Sixers/Wolves are too close. A Sixers loss would be better here.
  • Bulls @ Hornets: A Bulls loss keeps them as a backup plan to OKC catching Washington, but the Heat falling into the top-10 is a bigger concern of mine. Go Charlotte.
  • Orlando @ Boston: An Orlando win hurts the Lakers chances of falling out of the top 5, but a Boston loss could impact the Sixers ability to get the Heat pick. One of these teams have to win 😦
  • Miami @ Toronto: Miami’s in this weird spot where you want them to lose, but not too much. Still, with how well Indy and Utah are playing, I don’t think you have to worry about Miami winning too much.
  • Minnesota @ OKC: Another lose-lose. Minnesota wins are good for the Sixers pick, but OKC losses are bad for the OKC pick, and I’m starting to become worried about OKC passing both New Orleans and Washington.
  • Golden State @ Denver: Lakers aren’t catching Denver, but hope for a Denver loss, I guess.

About Derek Bodner

Derek Bodner covers the NBA draft for USA Today, is a college basketball scout for DraftExpress.com, a Sixers on-air reporter for 97.3 FM ESPN, as well as an editor at LibertyBallers.com. His writing has also appeared at SBNation.com, Philly.com, RealGM.com, and NBAPlaybook.com, and he has been a guest on 94 WIP, 97.5 FM ESPN, KYW 1060, and CSN Philly. He is a lifelong resident of the Philadelphia area. Contact Information: derek.bodner@draftexpress.com / 215-839-9635 / @DerekBodnerNBA
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