Sixers Draft Tracker – March 14th, 2015

Overview:

Sixers Draft Pick Tracker

Pick
Currently
Protection
Chance to get
Sixers3rdn/aGuaranteed
Lakers4thTop 517.2% chance the Sixers get it.
Heat10thTop 109.1% chance the Sixers get it
Thunder14thTop 18Pick will not convey
(A + next to a team name means I'm hoping they win, a - next to a team means I'm hoping that they lose)
(last updated March April 15th, 2015)

 

Sixers pick (currently 3rd):

  • Sixers won (bad): The Sixers had a miraculous comeback against the Kings, dominating the end of the 3rd / beginning of the 4th. Fun to watch, but has some negative consequences on the Sixers draft positioning.
  • Minnesota lost (bad): Minnesota fell to OKC, which was good for the OKC pick, but now gives them 1 less win than the Sixers. After a good stretch of play the Wolves have now lost 7 of their past 8 games.

2015 Top-of-Draft Standings

Team
Record
GB
Last 10
Remaining:
Wolves16-65--0-10Thunder
Knicks17-641.03-7Detroit
Sixers18-632.01-9Heat
(last updated April 15th, 2015)

 

Lakers pick (top 5 protected, currently 4th)

  • Sacramento lost (good): While the Sixers winning was bad, the Kings losing did at least keep them within 5 games of the Lakers, not that it’s likely to matter.
  • Orlando lost (good): Orlando also lost to Boston. Another costly game, as the surging Celtics are far too close to Miami, but it does keep Orlando only 4 wins up on the Lakers.
  • Minnesota lost (good): Again, Minnesota losing is a net-negative, as it pushes them to the #2 spot ahead of the Sixers. It does, at least, keep the Lakers from moving up from the 4th slot. The Sixers have a 17.2% chance at getting the pick if the Lakers stay at 4, only 4% if they move up to 3.
  • Detroit lost (good): Detroit lost their 9th in a row and have 6 more wins than the Lakers.

Lottery Odds - Lakers Pick

(Meaning, if the Lakers end up with the 4th worst record, there's a 17.2% chance that the Sixers will get the pick after the lottery).
Finish
% Chance the Sixers get it
1st or 2nd0%
3rd4%
4th17.2%
5h44.8%
6th78.5%

 

Heat pick (top 10 protected, currently 12th):

  • Charlotte won (bad): Again, any team in this range (with the exception of the Pacers), I want to lose. With Miami just a half-game up on Boston for the 10th slot, I’m not relying on an one team to falter. And with Boston and Utah playing so well, it might *have* to be Charlotte who stumbles. Any Charlotte win is bad at this point.
  • Boston won (bad): Boston’s win over Orlando has them only 1 win back of Miami in the 10th slot. 11th = 97.1% chance the Sixers get it, 10th = 9.1%. Panic.
  • Miami lost (bad): I’ve mentioned before how close this is, and how well Utah and Boston are playing. Miami might need to play better than mediocre ball for the Sixers to get the pick.

Standings - Miami Pick

Slot
Team
Record
GB (on Miami)
Last 10
Remaining
9thHornets33-48-3.03-7@Raptors
10thHeat36-45--3-7@Philadelphia
11thNets37-44+1.06-4Orlando
15thPacers38-43+2.06-4@Memphis
(last updated April 15th, 2015)

Lottery Odds - Heat Pick

(Meaning, if the Heat end up with the 11th worst record, there's a 97.1% chance that the Sixers will get the pick after the lottery).
Finish
% Chance the Sixers get it
8th~0.01%
9th0.4%
10th9.1%
11th97.1%
12th97.4%

 

Oklahoma City Thunder pick (top 18 protected, currently 14th):

  • OKC won (good): I may have preferred Minnesota to win, but the OKC win at least helps their pick. They’re now tied with New Orleans for the last playoff seed in the West and only a game behind Washington.
  • Chicago lost (good): Again, I would have preferred Chicago beat Charlotte, but at least it moves Chicago (4 wins up on OKC) closer as a backup plan.
  • Toronto won (bad): Toronto ended a 4 game skid, which put them in as a team to watch. The win keeps them 3 wins up on OKC as another backup plan to catching Washington.

Standings - Thunder Pick

Slot
Team
Record
GB (OKC)
Last 10
14thPelicans43-36--6-4
Remaining:@Rockets, @Wolves, Spurs
18thThunder43-36--4-6
Remaining:@Pacers, Blazers, @Wolves
19thWizards45-34+2.05-5
Remaining:Hawks, @Pacers, @Cavs
20thRaptors47-32+4.06-4
Remaining:@Heat, @Celtics, Hornets
(last updated April 11th, 2015)

 

Tonight’s games:

  • Nets @ Sixers: Either outcome helps, as any loss for the 9th slotted Nets keeps them further away from Miami, but Brooklyn has lost 5 in a row and shouldn’t be much of a threat. With the Sixers now in the 3rd slot, and a whole slew of winnable games coming up, some losses here would be key.
  • Celtics @ Pacers: Pacers win not only keeps them up on Miami, but also slows the Celtics down. The C’s are in the 10th slot and only a half game behind Miami (Panic!)
  • Kings @ Wizards: The Kings are theoretically still in play with the Lakers pick, as they have 5 more wins with 18 left to play. But I can’t see that happening. The Wizards are a game up on OKC in the 19th slot.
  • Bucks @ Grizzlies: Bucks, while in the 17th slot, have 2 less wins than OKC and are playing poor basketball. A loss helps, but you shouldn’t have to worry too much even if they pull off the win.
  • Pistons @ Jazz: Pistons have lost 9 in a row and are now in that 7th spot with 6 more wins than the Lakers. Even with the Pistons freefall I can’t see them losing 6 games on the Lakers, and with how Miami’s struggling I pretty much want *all* teams in that range to lose a couple.
  • Knicks @ Warriors: Go Knicks.

About Derek Bodner

Derek Bodner covers the NBA draft for USA Today, is a college basketball scout for DraftExpress.com, a Sixers on-air reporter for 97.3 FM ESPN, as well as an editor at LibertyBallers.com. His writing has also appeared at SBNation.com, Philly.com, RealGM.com, and NBAPlaybook.com, and he has been a guest on 94 WIP, 97.5 FM ESPN, KYW 1060, and CSN Philly. He is a lifelong resident of the Philadelphia area. Contact Information: derek.bodner@draftexpress.com / 215-839-9635 / @DerekBodnerNBA
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