Sixers Draft Pick Tracker – March 15th, 2015

Overview:

Sixers Draft Pick Tracker

Pick
Currently
Protection
Chance to get
Sixers3rdn/aGuaranteed
Lakers4thTop 517.2% chance the Sixers get it.
Heat10thTop 109.1% chance the Sixers get it
Thunder14thTop 18Pick will not convey
(A + next to a team name means I'm hoping they win, a - next to a team means I'm hoping that they lose)
(last updated March April 15th, 2015)

 

Sixers pick (currently 3rd):

  • Sixers lost (good): With how much the Knicks and Wolves are struggling, and how easy the Sixers upcoming schedule is, any loss (especially against a bad team) is good for the Sixers positioning.
  • Knicks lost (bad): Knicks got crushed by Golden State, keeping them at 13 wins, 2 less than the Sixers.

2015 Top-of-Draft Standings

Team
Record
GB
Last 10
Remaining:
Wolves16-65--0-10Thunder
Knicks17-641.03-7Detroit
Sixers18-632.01-9Heat
(last updated April 15th, 2015)

 

Lakers pick (top 5 protected, currently 4th)

  • Sacramento lost (good): Sacramento collapsed big time against Washington. The outcome is overall bad for the Sixers, but does help keep Sacramento within 5 wins of the Lakers.

Lottery Odds - Lakers Pick

(Meaning, if the Lakers end up with the 4th worst record, there's a 17.2% chance that the Sixers will get the pick after the lottery).
Finish
% Chance the Sixers get it
1st or 2nd0%
3rd4%
4th17.2%
5h44.8%
6th78.5%

 

Heat pick (top 10 protected, currently 11th):

  • Nets won (bad): The Nets shouldn’t be a factor down the stretch, but their win keeps them at the 9th slot and 3 wins behind Miami.
  • Boston won (bad) / Pacers lost (bad): Boston continues their surge, this time beating the red-hot Pacers in Indy. Boston is now tied with Miami and Utah for the 10th-12th spots.
  • Utah won (bad): Utah also beat the Pistons, who have lost 10 in a row. Utah is 8-2 in their last 10 and also tied with Miami. I think it’s a pretty safe bet that Utah passes Miami. Really need one of Charlotte (one less loss than Miami) or Boston to stumble to get that pick, most likely Charlotte.

Standings - Miami Pick

Slot
Team
Record
GB (on Miami)
Last 10
Remaining
9thHornets33-48-3.03-7@Raptors
10thHeat36-45--3-7@Philadelphia
11thNets37-44+1.06-4Orlando
15thPacers38-43+2.06-4@Memphis
(last updated April 15th, 2015)

Lottery Odds - Heat Pick

(Meaning, if the Heat end up with the 11th worst record, there's a 97.1% chance that the Sixers will get the pick after the lottery).
Finish
% Chance the Sixers get it
8th~0.01%
9th0.4%
10th9.1%
11th97.1%
12th97.4%

 

Oklahoma City Thunder pick (top 18 protected, currently 14th):

  • Milwaukee lost (good): Milwaukee shouldn’t be a factor, but they are 17th, so losses help.
  • Washington won (bad): Washington had a huge comeback against Sacramento in a game which featured a 38 point swing. Washington is now 2 wins up on OKC.

Standings - Thunder Pick

Slot
Team
Record
GB (OKC)
Last 10
14thPelicans43-36--6-4
Remaining:@Rockets, @Wolves, Spurs
18thThunder43-36--4-6
Remaining:@Pacers, Blazers, @Wolves
19thWizards45-34+2.05-5
Remaining:Hawks, @Pacers, @Cavs
20thRaptors47-32+4.06-4
Remaining:@Heat, @Celtics, Hornets
(last updated April 11th, 2015)

 

Tonight’s games:

  • Chicago @ OKC: An OKC win is critical, as it would pull them a half-game closer to Washington, and would pull them to within 3 of Chicago.
  • Denver @ New Orleans: Need the Pelicans to lose to get the Thunder into the playoffs.
  • Cleveland @ Orlando: Orlando losses keep the hope of the Lakers falling to #5 alive.
  • Minnesota @ San Antonio: The Wolves have a win less than the Sixers and have the 2nd worst record in the league. Go Minnesota.
  • Portland @ Toronto: Toronto losses help keep a backup plan open in case the Wizards (who are suddenly playing good defense) finish better than the Thunder.
  • Knicks @ Phoenix: The Knicks have 2 less wins than the Sixers. Go Knicks.
  • Hawks @ Lakers: Need the Lakers to win not only to give them a chance to catch Orlando (4 more wins), but also to stay away from the Sixers (Lakers have 2 more wins than the Sixers).

About Derek Bodner

Derek Bodner covers the NBA draft for USA Today, is a college basketball scout for DraftExpress.com, a Sixers on-air reporter for 97.3 FM ESPN, as well as an editor at LibertyBallers.com. His writing has also appeared at SBNation.com, Philly.com, RealGM.com, and NBAPlaybook.com, and he has been a guest on 94 WIP, 97.5 FM ESPN, KYW 1060, and CSN Philly. He is a lifelong resident of the Philadelphia area. Contact Information: derek.bodner@draftexpress.com / 215-839-9635 / @DerekBodnerNBA
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