Sixers Draft Pick Tracker – March 16th, 2015

Overview:

Sixers Draft Pick Tracker

Pick
Currently
Protection
Chance to get
Sixers3rdn/aGuaranteed
Lakers4thTop 517.2% chance the Sixers get it.
Heat10thTop 109.1% chance the Sixers get it
Thunder14thTop 18Pick will not convey
(A + next to a team name means I'm hoping they win, a - next to a team means I'm hoping that they lose)
(last updated March April 15th, 2015)

 

Sixers pick (currently 3rd):

  • Minnesota lost (bad): Minnesota continues their skid, this time a (predictable) loss to San Antonio. The Wolves have lost 4 in a row and remain one win less than the Sixers for the 2nd most ping pong balls.
  • Knicks lost (bad): The Knicks lost to the Suns. They have 13 wins, 2 less than the Sixers.
  • Lakers lost (bad): The Lakers lost another heartbreaker (for Sixers fans). The Lakers used a 16-2 run to pull within 2 with 30 seconds left, but then gave up an easy layup to Dennis Schroder to make it a foul shooting competition. Lakers stay at 17 wins, only 2 more than the Sixers.

2015 Top-of-Draft Standings

Team
Record
GB
Last 10
Remaining:
Wolves16-65--0-10Thunder
Knicks17-641.03-7Detroit
Sixers18-632.01-9Heat
(last updated April 15th, 2015)

 

Lakers pick (top 5 protected, currently 4th)

  • Lakers lost (bad): It seems like whenever the Lakers have a chance to pick up a game on Orlando, they blow it late in the game. Los Angeles remained close through the first half, had a disastrous 3rd, then had a comeback fall short.
  • Orlando lost (good): Orlando fell to Cleveland. Had the Lakers won, the Lakers would have been within 3 games of the 5th slot.

Lottery Odds - Lakers Pick

(Meaning, if the Lakers end up with the 4th worst record, there's a 17.2% chance that the Sixers will get the pick after the lottery).
Finish
% Chance the Sixers get it
1st or 2nd0%
3rd4%
4th17.2%
5h44.8%
6th78.5%

 

Heat pick (top 10 protected, currently 11th):

  • No games of significance happened last night, as all of Miami, Boston, Charlotte, Indiana, and Brooklyn had the night off.

Standings - Miami Pick

Slot
Team
Record
GB (on Miami)
Last 10
Remaining
9thHornets33-48-3.03-7@Raptors
10thHeat36-45--3-7@Philadelphia
11thNets37-44+1.06-4Orlando
15thPacers38-43+2.06-4@Memphis
(last updated April 15th, 2015)

Lottery Odds - Heat Pick

(Meaning, if the Heat end up with the 11th worst record, there's a 97.1% chance that the Sixers will get the pick after the lottery).
Finish
% Chance the Sixers get it
8th~0.01%
9th0.4%
10th9.1%
11th97.1%
12th97.4%

 

Oklahoma City Thunder pick (top 18 protected, currently 18th):

  • OKC won (good) / Chicago lost (good): Perfect outcome. The OKC win bumps them back into the playoffs and in the 18th slot. Chicago, only 4-6 in their last 10, is only 2 wins up on the Thunder, just in case the Thunder can’t catch the Wizards.
  • New Orleans lost (good): New Orleans fell to Denver, who have now won 4 in a row (and are likely more of a threat to pass Miami than Brooklyn is). The Pelicans loss puts them a full game behind OKC in that crucial race for the last playoff spot out West.
  • Raptors lost (good): Raptors continue to struggle, as they lost to Portland and are only 2-8 in their last 10. Like Chicago, Toronto is now only 2 wins ahead of OKC. So OKC just needs to stay in front of New Orleans and pass one of Washington (1 win up), Chicago (2 wins up), or Toronto (2 wins up) for that pick to convey to theSixers this year. 16 games to go …

Standings - Thunder Pick

Slot
Team
Record
GB (OKC)
Last 10
14thPelicans43-36--6-4
Remaining:@Rockets, @Wolves, Spurs
18thThunder43-36--4-6
Remaining:@Pacers, Blazers, @Wolves
19thWizards45-34+2.05-5
Remaining:Hawks, @Pacers, @Cavs
20thRaptors47-32+4.06-4
Remaining:@Heat, @Celtics, Hornets
(last updated April 11th, 2015)

 

Tonight’s games:

  • Sixers @ Boston: Huge, huge, game. The Knicks, Wolves, and Lakers keep losing, giving the Sixers little margin for error, and the Sixers winning would hurt their positioning. That being said, with Boston tied with Miami, a Sixers win does at least help that. The Sixers pick is more important, but I think the odds of the Lakers passing the Sixers is less than Boston passing Miami. Either outcome makes me nervous.
  • Raptors @ Pacers: A Pacers win keeps them above Miami, and also helps push Toronto further back towards OKC as a backup plan.
  • Blazers @ Wizards: A Wizards loss (combined with an OKC win) could put OKC in that coveted 19th spot, thus conveying their pick to the Sixers.
  • Cleveland @ Miami: At this point, I’m hoping that Miami wins.
  • Nets @ Wolves: A Wolves win helps in two ways: It could push them past the Sixers, and also keep the Nets away from Miami.
  • OKC @ Dallas: Go OKC. Need some breathing room between OKC and New Orleans, and need OKC to catch Washington. Would prefer OKC not to pass more than 1 or Washington, Chicago, or Toronto, but right now just make that pick convey.
  • Charlotte @ Utah: At this point, I’m expecting Utah to pass Miami, so I hope Charlotte stumbles big time down the stretch.
  • Atlanta @ Sacramento: Sacramento is 5 games up on the Lakers in the 6th slot, so hoping they lose, even if the odds are very low.
  • Lakers @ Golden State: Go Lakers!

About Derek Bodner

Derek Bodner covers the NBA draft for USA Today, is a college basketball scout for DraftExpress.com, a Sixers on-air reporter for 97.3 FM ESPN, as well as an editor at LibertyBallers.com. His writing has also appeared at SBNation.com, Philly.com, RealGM.com, and NBAPlaybook.com, and he has been a guest on 94 WIP, 97.5 FM ESPN, KYW 1060, and CSN Philly. He is a lifelong resident of the Philadelphia area. Contact Information: derek.bodner@draftexpress.com / 215-839-9635 / @DerekBodnerNBA
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