Sixers Draft Pick Tracker – March 17th, 2015

Overview:

Sixers Draft Pick Tracker

Pick
Currently
Protection
Chance to get
Sixers3rdn/aGuaranteed
Lakers4thTop 517.2% chance the Sixers get it.
Heat10thTop 109.1% chance the Sixers get it
Thunder14thTop 18Pick will not convey
(A + next to a team name means I'm hoping they win, a - next to a team means I'm hoping that they lose)
(last updated March April 15th, 2015)

 

Sixers pick (currently 3rd):

  • Sixers lost (good): The good: the Sixers picked up a clutch loss. The bad: We had to watch that game. The loss keeps the Sixers a win behind Minnesota for the race for the second most ping pong balls.
  • Minnesota lost (bad): Minnesota continues their skid, having now lost 5 in a row. They played this last game without Ricky Rubio and Pekovic. They’re certainly not good enough to be losing key guys at this point.
  • Lakers lost (bad): The Lakers teased us all once again, as they kept the game close all night against the Warriors, only to lose by 3. Lakers still have only 2 more wins than the Sixers.

2015 Top-of-Draft Standings

Team
Record
GB
Last 10
Remaining:
Wolves16-65--0-10Thunder
Knicks17-641.03-7Detroit
Sixers18-632.01-9Heat
(last updated April 15th, 2015)

 

Lakers pick (top 5 protected, currently 4th)

  • Lakers lost (bad): The Lakers missed a(nother) chance to pick up a win on Orlando (4 more wins) and Sacramento (5 more wins). With only 16 games left for the Lakers, you’re really just hoping they don’t move up from 4 at this point.
  • Sacramento lost (good): Sacramento fell to Atlanta, and have now lost 3 in a row. They’re still 5 wins sup on the Lakers.

Lottery Odds - Lakers Pick

(Meaning, if the Lakers end up with the 4th worst record, there's a 17.2% chance that the Sixers will get the pick after the lottery).
Finish
% Chance the Sixers get it
1st or 2nd0%
3rd4%
4th17.2%
5h44.8%
6th78.5%

 

Heat pick (top 10 protected, currently 11th):

  • Heat won (good): The Heat pulled out a much needed win over Cleveland. It temporarily bumped the Heat into the 15th spot, but the teams behind them are playing really good basketball.
  • Charlotte lost (good) / Utah won (bad): Except maybe Charlotte. Boston and Utah passing Miami isn’t a problem if Charlotte and Brooklyn don’t. With Charlotte’s loss, it drops them to the 10th slot. Really have to hope they struggle down the stretch. Utah’s win puts them in a 4-place tie with Boston, Miami, and Indy for those last 2 playoff spots in the East. Utah has won 6 in a row. I put Utah down as bad just because I want a backup plan, but they’re passing Miami.
  • Boston won (bad): Boston beat the Sixers, which was to be expected. Boston has now won 5 in a row and is tied for a playoff spot (with Miami) in the East.
  • Indy lost (bad): Indy lost to Toronto, which was a bit of a surprise with how well the Pacers have been playing of late. The loss drops them back to that aforementioned tie.
  • Brooklyn won (bad):  Brooklyn won, beating Minnesota. Brooklyn is still 3 wins back of Miami.

Standings - Miami Pick

Slot
Team
Record
GB (on Miami)
Last 10
Remaining
9thHornets33-48-3.03-7@Raptors
10thHeat36-45--3-7@Philadelphia
11thNets37-44+1.06-4Orlando
15thPacers38-43+2.06-4@Memphis
(last updated April 15th, 2015)

Lottery Odds - Heat Pick

(Meaning, if the Heat end up with the 11th worst record, there's a 97.1% chance that the Sixers will get the pick after the lottery).
Finish
% Chance the Sixers get it
8th~0.01%
9th0.4%
10th9.1%
11th97.1%
12th97.4%

 

Oklahoma City Thunder pick (top 18 protected, currently 18th):

  • OKC lost (bad): OKC lost to Dallas, which decreases their lead over New Orleans to only a half-game.
  • Ibaka injury (really bad): Worse than the loss was the news that Ibaka will see a new specialist, with the expectation that he’ll have surgery, and miss some time.
  • Toronto won (bad): Toronto beat Indy. The Toronto win, along with the OKC loss, puts them 3 games up on OKC in the 21st spot.
  • Washington won (bad): Washington beat Portland, which puts the Wizards 2 games up on OKC.

Standings - Thunder Pick

Slot
Team
Record
GB (OKC)
Last 10
14thPelicans43-36--6-4
Remaining:@Rockets, @Wolves, Spurs
18thThunder43-36--4-6
Remaining:@Pacers, Blazers, @Wolves
19thWizards45-34+2.05-5
Remaining:Hawks, @Pacers, @Cavs
20thRaptors47-32+4.06-4
Remaining:@Heat, @Celtics, Hornets
(last updated April 11th, 2015)

 

Tonight’s games:

  • Spurs @ Knicks: Go Knicks.
  • Bucks @ Pelicans: Either team winning pulls them closer to OKC, but it’s more likely that New Orleans is a problem than Milwaukee. Go Bucks.
  • Magic @ Rockets: Go Rockets.
  • Hornets @ Clippers: Go Clippers.

About Derek Bodner

Derek Bodner covers the NBA draft for USA Today, is a college basketball scout for DraftExpress.com, a Sixers on-air reporter for 97.3 FM ESPN, as well as an editor at LibertyBallers.com. His writing has also appeared at SBNation.com, Philly.com, RealGM.com, and NBAPlaybook.com, and he has been a guest on 94 WIP, 97.5 FM ESPN, KYW 1060, and CSN Philly. He is a lifelong resident of the Philadelphia area. Contact Information: derek.bodner@draftexpress.com / 215-839-9635 / @DerekBodnerNBA
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