Sixers Draft Pick Tracker – March 19th, 2015

Overview:

Sixers Draft Pick Tracker

Pick
Currently
Protection
Chance to get
Sixers3rdn/aGuaranteed
Lakers4thTop 517.2% chance the Sixers get it.
Heat10thTop 109.1% chance the Sixers get it
Thunder14thTop 18Pick will not convey
(A + next to a team name means I'm hoping they win, a - next to a team means I'm hoping that they lose)
(last updated March April 15th, 2015)

 

Sixers pick (currently 3rd):

  • Sixers won (bad): Sixers wins: exciting to watch, bad for positioning. The Sixers are now 2 wins behind both New York and Minnesota, and only 1 away from the 4th place Lakers.
  • Minnesota lost (bad): Minnesota has now lost 6 in a row and remains stuck on 14 wins.

2015 Top-of-Draft Standings

Team
Record
GB
Last 10
Remaining:
Wolves16-65--0-10Thunder
Knicks17-641.03-7Detroit
Sixers18-632.01-9Heat
(last updated April 15th, 2015)

 

Lakers pick (top 5 protected, currently 4th)

  • Orlando lost (good): Orlando lost their 6th in a row. Still only 4 more wins than the Lakers, but the Lakers are running out of time with only 16 games remaining.
  • Sacramento lost (good): Sacramento is on a 4 game losing streak of their own, but the Lakers have not been able to capitalize and are still 5 wins behind the Kings.

Lottery Odds - Lakers Pick

(Meaning, if the Lakers end up with the 4th worst record, there's a 17.2% chance that the Sixers will get the pick after the lottery).
Finish
% Chance the Sixers get it
1st or 2nd0%
3rd4%
4th17.2%
5h44.8%
6th78.5%

 

Heat pick (top 10 protected, currently 16th):

  • Nets lost (good): The Nets lost. They’re now 3.5 games back from the Heat and unlikely to be a factor.
  • Miami won (good): Until there’s some real separation between Miami and one of Charlotte, Indy, Boston, or Utah, I’m going to hope that Miami wins. They’re still only 1.5 games away from the 10th worst record. There will come a point where they need to lose. I’m just not sure they’re quite there yet.
  • Indiana lost (bad): Somebody stole Indy’s mojo, as the Pacers have now lost 3 in a row and are in a 3-way tie for the 11th spot. I still think they turn it around and finish the season (relatively) strong.
  • Boston lost (good): Boston lost, which puts a game of separation between them and Miami.
  • Utah lost (good): Utah also lost. It probably would have been better for Utah to beat Washington, so this is a net-negative, but at least it keeps them behind Miami. Again, my gut tells me that eventually we’re going to be hoping Utah wins, but right now, until there’s some separation with Miami and the 10th seed, it’s about optionality.

Standings - Miami Pick

Slot
Team
Record
GB (on Miami)
Last 10
Remaining
9thHornets33-48-3.03-7@Raptors
10thHeat36-45--3-7@Philadelphia
11thNets37-44+1.06-4Orlando
15thPacers38-43+2.06-4@Memphis
(last updated April 15th, 2015)

Lottery Odds - Heat Pick

(Meaning, if the Heat end up with the 11th worst record, there's a 97.1% chance that the Sixers will get the pick after the lottery).
Finish
% Chance the Sixers get it
8th~0.01%
9th0.4%
10th9.1%
11th97.1%
12th97.4%

 

Oklahoma City Thunder pick (top 18 protected, currently 18th):

  • Chicago won (bad): Chicago won, keeping them 3 wins up on the Thunder as a backup plan to catching the (suddenly winning) Wizards.
  • Toronto won (bad): Toronto also won, keeping them 3 wins up on the Thunder as well.
  • Milwaukee lost (good): Milwaukee lost. They’re now 4 wins back of the Thunder and unlikely to be a factor down the stretch.
  • OKC won (good): OKC with a big win over Boston, which bumps them back ahead of New Orleans and into the Western Conference playoffs. With Durant and Ibaka out, any win is a great win, especially against a team that was playing well.
  • Washington won (bad): Washington beat Utah, keeping them 2 wins up on the Thunder.

Standings - Thunder Pick

Slot
Team
Record
GB (OKC)
Last 10
14thPelicans43-36--6-4
Remaining:@Rockets, @Wolves, Spurs
18thThunder43-36--4-6
Remaining:@Pacers, Blazers, @Wolves
19thWizards45-34+2.05-5
Remaining:Hawks, @Pacers, @Cavs
20thRaptors47-32+4.06-4
Remaining:@Heat, @Celtics, Hornets
(last updated April 11th, 2015)

 

Tonight’s games:

  • Wolves @ Knicks: win-win! I probably have more faith in the Wolves down the stretch (if they’re ever healthy), so I’m probably hoping that the Wolves win, so we have a chance of at least catching one of the two.
  • New Orleans @ Phoenix: Pelicans can’t pass the Thunder. Go Suns.
  • Jazz @ Lakers: Eventually, we’re likely to hope that the Jazz win, but right now I want optionality. And the Lakers winning would be critical, not just for a (slight) chance at their own pick, but also to keep them away from passing the Sixers.

About Derek Bodner

Derek Bodner covers the NBA draft for USA Today, is a college basketball scout for DraftExpress.com, a Sixers on-air reporter for 97.3 FM ESPN, as well as an editor at LibertyBallers.com. His writing has also appeared at SBNation.com, Philly.com, RealGM.com, and NBAPlaybook.com, and he has been a guest on 94 WIP, 97.5 FM ESPN, KYW 1060, and CSN Philly. He is a lifelong resident of the Philadelphia area. Contact Information: derek.bodner@draftexpress.com / 215-839-9635 / @DerekBodnerNBA
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