Overview:
Sixers Draft Pick Tracker
Pick | Currently | Protection | Chance to get |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sixers | 3rd | n/a | Guaranteed |
| Lakers | 4th | Top 5 | 17.2% chance the Sixers get it. |
| Heat | 10th | Top 10 | 9.1% chance the Sixers get it |
| Thunder | 14th | Top 18 | Pick will not convey |
(last updated March April 15th, 2015)
Sixers pick (currently 3rd):
- Knicks lost (bad): / Wolves won (good): As I mentioned yesterday, I was pulling for a Wolves win here as I think there’s a better chance of them winning more games than the Sixers down the stretch than there is of the Knicks doing so, even with the Wolves injuries and poor play of late. The Wolves pulled out an overtime win in New York, keeping the Sixers 2 wins away from the Knicks, but pulling them to within 1 of Minnesota.
- Lakers lost (bad): The Lakers were within 3 points of the Jazz entering the 4th quarter but once again couldn’t come away with a victory. The Lakers still only have one more win than the Sixers.
2015 Top-of-Draft Standings
Team | Record | GB | Last 10 | Remaining: |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wolves | 16-65 | -- | 0-10 | Thunder |
| Knicks | 17-64 | 1.0 | 3-7 | Detroit |
| Sixers | 18-63 | 2.0 | 1-9 | Heat |
Lakers pick (top 5 protected, currently 4th)
- Lakers lost (bad): Another chance to pick up a game on Orlando and Sacramento, another missed opportunity. The Lakers still have 4 wins less than the Magic and 5 less than the Kings with 15 games remaining.
Lottery Odds - Lakers Pick
(Meaning, if the Lakers end up with the 4th worst record, there's a 17.2% chance that the Sixers will get the pick after the lottery).Finish | % Chance the Sixers get it |
|---|---|
| 1st or 2nd | 0% |
| 3rd | 4% |
| 4th | 17.2% |
| 5h | 44.8% |
| 6th | 78.5% |
Heat pick (top 10 protected, currently 16th):
- Utah won (bad): I’m still putting this as bad until somebody in the Utah / Charlotte / Boston / Indy group separates themselves as the 10th seed, but Utah will finish with a better record than Miami, in my opinion, so at the end of the year this is probably a good thing.
Standings - Miami Pick
Slot | Team | Record | GB (on Miami) | Last 10 | Remaining |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9th | Hornets | 33-48 | -3.0 | 3-7 | @Raptors |
| 10th | Heat | 36-45 | -- | 3-7 | @Philadelphia |
| 11th | Nets | 37-44 | +1.0 | 6-4 | Orlando |
| 15th | Pacers | 38-43 | +2.0 | 6-4 | @Memphis |
Lottery Odds - Heat Pick
(Meaning, if the Heat end up with the 11th worst record, there's a 97.1% chance that the Sixers will get the pick after the lottery).Finish | % Chance the Sixers get it |
|---|---|
| 8th | ~0.01% |
| 9th | 0.4% |
| 10th | 9.1% |
| 11th | 97.1% |
| 12th | 97.4% |
Oklahoma City Thunder pick (top 18 protected, currently 18th):
- New Orleans lost (good): This was a great result. With OKC having so many injuries, any OKC win or New Orleans loss is a good thing. With the Pelicans losing, the Thunder are now a full game up on New Orleans for that final spot in the Western Conference playoffs. If the Thunder don’t hold on to that last spot, the Sixers won’t get their pick, even if they pass one of Washington, Toronto, or Chicago.
Standings - Thunder Pick
Slot | Team | Record | GB (OKC) | Last 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14th | Pelicans | 43-36 | -- | 6-4 |
| Remaining: | @Rockets, @Wolves, Spurs | |||
| 18th | Thunder | 43-36 | -- | 4-6 |
| Remaining: | @Pacers, Blazers, @Wolves | |||
| 19th | Wizards | 45-34 | +2.0 | 5-5 |
| Remaining: | Hawks, @Pacers, @Cavs | |||
| 20th | Raptors | 47-32 | +4.0 | 6-4 |
| Remaining: | @Heat, @Celtics, Hornets | |||
Tonight’s games:
- Knicks @ Sixers: This is it. The next 10 games, with a game against the Knicks and 2 against the Lakers, could be the difference between Karl Towns and Stanley Johnson.
- Blazers @ Magic: Go Blazers.
- Pacers @ Cavs: Would like Indy to regain some of their mojo and pass the Heat.
- Nuggets @ Miami: I’m still pulling for a Heat win here, until somebody becomes a clear-cut favorite for the 10th slot. Don’t want Miami to win too much, though. Just more than 1 of Charlotte, Indy, and Boston.
- Bucks @ Nets: I don’t consider the Bucks to be much of a threat to OKC, so I’m going to hope they win and keep the Nets firmly in that 9th slot.
- Raptors @ Bulls: Win-win here. Both teams have 41 wins and are backup plans to OKC catching Washington.
- Hawks @ OKC: Go OKC.
- Celtics @ Spurs: Go Spurs (again, optionality on that Miami pick).
- Hornets @ Kings: Hornets are my “most likely to stumble” among the Charlotte, Indy, and Boston triumverate, so go Kings (even if that hurts the Lakers pick, but it’s not likely LA catches Sacramento anyway. A Hornets loss is important).
- Pelicans @ Warriors: Go Warriors. The Pelicans *not* passing the Thunder is very important.
- Wizards @ Clippers: Go Clippers. Wizards are 2 wins up on OKC in that 19th slot.
