Sixers Draft Pick Tracker – March 24th, 2015

Overview:

Sixers Draft Pick Tracker

Pick
Currently
Protection
Chance to get
Sixers3rdn/aGuaranteed
Lakers4thTop 517.2% chance the Sixers get it.
Heat10thTop 109.1% chance the Sixers get it
Thunder14thTop 18Pick will not convey
(A + next to a team name means I'm hoping they win, a - next to a team means I'm hoping that they lose)
(last updated March April 15th, 2015)

 

Sixers pick (currently 3rd):

  • Knicks lost (bad): The Knicks lost, because that’s what they do. I wasn’t expecting a win against Memphis, but it would have been nice. The Knicks have 3 less wins than the Sixers with only 11 games left to play.
  • Minnesota won (good): Minnesota won! Zach LaVine hit a pair of 3’s in the last 25 seconds to send the game to overtime, where Minnesota was able to pull out the win over Utah. Minnesota now only has 1 less win than the Sixers.

2015 Top-of-Draft Standings

Team
Record
GB
Last 10
Remaining:
Wolves16-65--0-10Thunder
Knicks17-641.03-7Detroit
Sixers18-632.01-9Heat
(last updated April 15th, 2015)

 

Lakers pick (top 5 protected, currently 4th)

  • Nothing happened here, as the Lakers, Orlando, and Sacramento all had the night off.

Lottery Odds - Lakers Pick

(Meaning, if the Lakers end up with the 4th worst record, there's a 17.2% chance that the Sixers will get the pick after the lottery).
Finish
% Chance the Sixers get it
1st or 2nd0%
3rd4%
4th17.2%
5h44.8%
6th78.5%

 

Heat pick (top 10 protected, currently 16th):

  • Pacers lost (bad?): The Pacers lost (again), their 6th straight. I was counting on them to pass Miami, but they’re now 2 wins (and 2.5 games) back.
  • Brooklyn lost (good) / Boston won (good): Brooklyn lost, keeping them 3 wins behind Miami, which is crucial. Boston won, which pulls them to within 1 win of Miami. Sixers need Boston and one more of Charlotte or Indy to pass Miami.
  • Charlotte lost (good): Going back and forth on whether to cheer for Charlotte or not. If Indy gets their game back, then Charlotte losing is good. Charlotte is 2 wins back of Miami and in the 12th slot.
  • Utah lost (good?): Again, what I want Utah to do largely depends on what Indy does. If all of Indy, Charlotte, and Boston pass Miami, then Utah becomes the Sixers last hope to realistically keep that Miami pick. But if 2 of them *don’t* pass Miami, then Utah finishing with a better record doens’t have an impact on the draft pick, since Miami would be in the playoffs and Utah the lottery. So I’m hoping Utah stumbles just as a backup plan, but right now all 3 of Boston/Indy/Charlotte passing Miami seems unlikely.

Standings - Miami Pick

Slot
Team
Record
GB (on Miami)
Last 10
Remaining
9thHornets33-48-3.03-7@Raptors
10thHeat36-45--3-7@Philadelphia
11thNets37-44+1.06-4Orlando
15thPacers38-43+2.06-4@Memphis
(last updated April 15th, 2015)

Lottery Odds - Heat Pick

(Meaning, if the Heat end up with the 11th worst record, there's a 97.1% chance that the Sixers will get the pick after the lottery).
Finish
% Chance the Sixers get it
8th~0.01%
9th0.4%
10th9.1%
11th97.1%
12th97.4%

 

Oklahoma City Thunder pick (top 18 protected, currently 19th):

  • Chicago won (bad): Chicago won, which puts them 2 games (3 wins) up on OKC as a backup plan to OKC passing Washington. But that becomes meaningless if …
  • Washington lost (good): Washington lost, which puts them a half-game behind OKC, putting OKC in that 19th slot by themselves. If the season ended today, the Sixers would have 3 first round picks (and a 17% chance at the Lakers).

Standings - Thunder Pick

Slot
Team
Record
GB (OKC)
Last 10
14thPelicans43-36--6-4
Remaining:@Rockets, @Wolves, Spurs
18thThunder43-36--4-6
Remaining:@Pacers, Blazers, @Wolves
19thWizards45-34+2.05-5
Remaining:Hawks, @Pacers, @Cavs
20thRaptors47-32+4.06-4
Remaining:@Heat, @Celtics, Hornets
(last updated April 11th, 2015)

 

Tonight’s games:

  • Sixers @ Kings: Go Kings (it hurts the Lakers chances of catching the Kings, but that’s not happening anyway). Sixers have lost 15 straight on the road.
  • Raptors @ Detroit: Go Detroit (backup plan to OKC passing Washington).
  • Miami @ Milwaukee: Big game. A Milwaukee win pushes them to 2.5 games up on Miami in the 17th slot, and could push Miami closer to falling back into the lottery.
  • Lakers @ OKC: Another huge game. An OKC win would help cement their status as the 19th slot, but a Lakers win helps both the Sixers pick and the (small) chances of getting the Lakers pick. I’m more concerned with the Sixers passing the Lakers than I am of Washington passing the Thunder, so go Lakers.

About Derek Bodner

Derek Bodner covers the NBA draft for USA Today, is a college basketball scout for DraftExpress.com, a Sixers on-air reporter for 97.3 FM ESPN, as well as an editor at LibertyBallers.com. His writing has also appeared at SBNation.com, Philly.com, RealGM.com, and NBAPlaybook.com, and he has been a guest on 94 WIP, 97.5 FM ESPN, KYW 1060, and CSN Philly. He is a lifelong resident of the Philadelphia area. Contact Information: derek.bodner@draftexpress.com / 215-839-9635 / @DerekBodnerNBA
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