Sixers Draft Pick Tracker – April 6th, 2015

Overview:

Sixers Draft Pick Tracker

Pick
Currently
Protection
Chance to get
Sixers3rdn/aGuaranteed
Lakers4thTop 517.2% chance the Sixers get it.
Heat10thTop 109.1% chance the Sixers get it
Thunder14thTop 18Pick will not convey
(A + next to a team name means I'm hoping they win, a - next to a team means I'm hoping that they lose)
(last updated March April 15th, 2015)

Sixers pick (currently 3rd):

  • Sixers lost (good) / New York won (good): The Knicks win doesn’t really matter, as the Sixers aren’t catching them (3 less wins). Where it does help is that it gives the Sixers a loss in a game that you had penciled in as a win. With only 4 games left, it’s looking more and more likely that the Sixers remain at the 3rd worst record, which, with the way it looked a few weeks ago, constitutes a win in my book.
  • Lakers lost (bad): The Lakers got demolished by the Clippers and remain at 20 wins. With the Sixers only having 4 games remaining that should be enough of a cushion, but another Lakers win would be really nice.

2015 Top-of-Draft Standings

Team
Record
GB
Last 10
Remaining:
Wolves16-65--0-10Thunder
Knicks17-641.03-7Detroit
Sixers18-632.01-9Heat
(last updated April 15th, 2015)

Lakers pick (top 5 protected, currently 4th)

  • Lakers lost (bad): With Orlando’s 2 game winning streak the Lakers are now 4 back of the 5th worst record with only 6 games remaining. They’re not mathematically eliminited from moving back, but it’s not happening.

Lottery Odds - Lakers Pick

(Meaning, if the Lakers end up with the 4th worst record, there's a 17.2% chance that the Sixers will get the pick after the lottery).
Finish
% Chance the Sixers get it
1st or 2nd0%
3rd4%
4th17.2%
5h44.8%
6th78.5%

Heat pick (top 10 protected, currently 10th):

  • Miami lost (horrible) / Indiana won (bad): Miami’s loss, combined with Indiana’s win, puts the Heat into a tie for the 10th slot and only 0.5 games behind Charlotte in 9th. The good new is they’re only a game away from Utah and Boston, and 1.5 games away from Brooklyn. The Sixers need the Heat to stay in front of Charlotte and pass one of Indy, Utah, Boston, or Brooklyn, so start rooting for those guys to lose.
  • Utah won (bad): Utah beat Sacramento, putting them a full game up on Miami. If there’s one team I’d like to see stumble down the stretch it’s Utah, because Miami passing them can only bump them up 1 spot, whereas Miami jumping 2 Eastern Conference teams jumps them into the playoffs, and thus up 4 spots.

Standings - Miami Pick

Slot
Team
Record
GB (on Miami)
Last 10
Remaining
9thHornets33-48-3.03-7@Raptors
10thHeat36-45--3-7@Philadelphia
11thNets37-44+1.06-4Orlando
15thPacers38-43+2.06-4@Memphis
(last updated April 15th, 2015)

Lottery Odds - Heat Pick

(Meaning, if the Heat end up with the 11th worst record, there's a 97.1% chance that the Sixers will get the pick after the lottery).
Finish
% Chance the Sixers get it
8th~0.01%
9th0.4%
10th9.1%
11th97.1%
12th97.4%

Oklahoma City Thunder pick (top 18 protected, currently 18th):

  • OKC lost (bad, really bad): OKC lost a close one to Houston, who is playing great ball right now. OKC has now lost 3 in a row and is a full 2 games behind Washington with only 5 games left to play. If they don’t pass either Washington (2 games up) or Toronto (3 games up), the Sixers aren’t getting that pick.

Standings - Thunder Pick

Slot
Team
Record
GB (OKC)
Last 10
14thPelicans43-36--6-4
Remaining:@Rockets, @Wolves, Spurs
18thThunder43-36--4-6
Remaining:@Pacers, Blazers, @Wolves
19thWizards45-34+2.05-5
Remaining:Hawks, @Pacers, @Cavs
20thRaptors47-32+4.06-4
Remaining:@Heat, @Celtics, Hornets
(last updated April 11th, 2015)

Tonight’s games:

  • Portland @ Brooklyn: Typically, I’d want Brooklyn to win because I want Miami in 11th or 12th. But right now, I’ll take losses from any of these teams ahead of Miami in the hopes that one stumbles. If I had more confidence in Miami winning I’d be more selective in my rooting interest, but right now, give me losses from any of them.

Sixers Draft Pick Tracker – April 3rd, 2015

Overview:

Sixers Draft Pick Tracker

Pick
Currently
Protection
Chance to get
Sixers3rdn/aGuaranteed
Lakers4thTop 517.2% chance the Sixers get it.
Heat10thTop 109.1% chance the Sixers get it
Thunder14thTop 18Pick will not convey
(A + next to a team name means I'm hoping they win, a - next to a team means I'm hoping that they lose)
(last updated March April 15th, 2015)

Sixers pick (currently 3rd):

  • No games impacted the Sixers pick.

2015 Top-of-Draft Standings

Team
Record
GB
Last 10
Remaining:
Wolves16-65--0-10Thunder
Knicks17-641.03-7Detroit
Sixers18-632.01-9Heat
(last updated April 15th, 2015)

Lakers pick (top 5 protected, currently 4th)

  • No games impacted the Lakers pick.

Lottery Odds - Lakers Pick

(Meaning, if the Lakers end up with the 4th worst record, there's a 17.2% chance that the Sixers will get the pick after the lottery).
Finish
% Chance the Sixers get it
1st or 2nd0%
3rd4%
4th17.2%
5h44.8%
6th78.5%

Heat pick (top 10 protected, currently 15th):

  • Miami lost (good): Miami lost, which I’m still marking down as good, but it’s getting close. Miami is now tied for 11th with both Utah and Boston, and only 1.5 up on 10th-slotted Charlotte. As long as Charlotte or Indiana don’t pass Miami, that’s great, but this is going to come down to the wire.

Standings - Miami Pick

Slot
Team
Record
GB (on Miami)
Last 10
Remaining
9thHornets33-48-3.03-7@Raptors
10thHeat36-45--3-7@Philadelphia
11thNets37-44+1.06-4Orlando
15thPacers38-43+2.06-4@Memphis
(last updated April 15th, 2015)

Lottery Odds - Heat Pick

(Meaning, if the Heat end up with the 11th worst record, there's a 97.1% chance that the Sixers will get the pick after the lottery).
Finish
% Chance the Sixers get it
8th~0.01%
9th0.4%
10th9.1%
11th97.1%
12th97.4%

Oklahoma City Thunder pick (top 18 protected, currently 18th):

  • No games impacted OKC’s pick.

Standings - Thunder Pick

Slot
Team
Record
GB (OKC)
Last 10
14thPelicans43-36--6-4
Remaining:@Rockets, @Wolves, Spurs
18thThunder43-36--4-6
Remaining:@Pacers, Blazers, @Wolves
19thWizards45-34+2.05-5
Remaining:Hawks, @Pacers, @Cavs
20thRaptors47-32+4.06-4
Remaining:@Heat, @Celtics, Hornets
(last updated April 11th, 2015)

Tonight’s games:

  • OKC @ Grizzlies: Another huge game. OKC is tied with Washington in that 18th spot. With Washington playing New York, an OKC win is likely a must to keep pace with the Wizards.
  • Pelicans @ Kings: The Pelicans are only 1.5 games back on OKC, so I think OKC has suffcient pressure to keep trying to win games. I’d probably be okay if the Pelicans lost this game. I want the Pelicans close, but not to pass OKC
  • Hornets @ Pacers: At this point, either team winning is cause for concern. I probably think there’s less of a chance that Indy passes Miami than Charlotte does, so I’m probably rooting for Indy.
  • Knicks @ Wizards: Go Knicks. Really, if the Knicks could find a way to win a game, this would be the one to do it. Not only would the Knicks get a victory (which is unlikely to really matter at this point), but Washington picking up an unexpected loss would be great for the OKC pick.
  • Bucks @ Celtics: The Bucks losing isn’t ideal, but there is now 3 games separating 17th-slotted Milwaukee with 15th-slotted Miami. Boston is tied with Miami, and I’m still hoping that they pass Miami, but this whole situation is getting too close for comfort again, with Miami only 2 games up on the 9th worst record and 1.5 games up on the 10th worst.
  • Raptors @ Nets: The Raptors aren’t really in play anymore with the OKC pick, as they’re 3 games up on OKC, but keeping them as a backup plan would be great. A Nets win also increases the chances they finish with a better record than Miami, which would help the Miami pick end up in 11-12 rather than 15-16.
  • Pistons @ Bulls: Like the Raptors, the Bulls are 3 games up on OKC. They’re unlikely to be in play, but either of them falling back and opening up a backup plan to OKC finishing with a better record than Washington would be great.
  • Magic @ Wolves: Big game. A Wolves win keeps open two prayers: that the Sixers could end up with the 2nd worst record, and that the Lakers could catch Orlando.
  • Blazers @ Lakers: Go Lakers. One or two more wins by the Lakers would really put the Sixers in the drivers seat for the 3rd most ping pong balls, and also open up possibility of the Lakers catching Orlando.