Overview:
Sixers Draft Pick Tracker
Pick | Currently | Protection | Chance to get |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sixers | 3rd | n/a | Guaranteed |
| Lakers | 4th | Top 5 | 17.2% chance the Sixers get it. |
| Heat | 10th | Top 10 | 9.1% chance the Sixers get it |
| Thunder | 14th | Top 18 | Pick will not convey |
(last updated March April 15th, 2015)
Sixers pick (currently 3rd):
- Knicks lost (bad): The loss keeps the Knicks 3 wins behind the Sixers with 4 games left to play.
- Lakers lost (bad): The Lakers are still 2 wins behind the Sixers. The Sixers need any combination of 2 Philadelphia losses or Los Angeles wins to clinch the 3rd worst record.
- Minnesota lost (bad): Minnesota lost to Portland, which keeps them with 2 wins less than the Sixers with 4 left to play.
- Sixers lost (good): The Sixers loss was bad for the OKC pick, but at least it allows them to keep pace with the bottom feeders. The Wolves (8 straight losses), Sixers (7 straight), and Lakers (5 straight) are all on major slides.
2015 Top-of-Draft Standings
Team | Record | GB | Last 10 | Remaining: |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wolves | 16-65 | -- | 0-10 | Thunder |
| Knicks | 17-64 | 1.0 | 3-7 | Detroit |
| Sixers | 18-63 | 2.0 | 1-9 | Heat |
Lakers pick (top 5 protected, currently 4th)
- Orlando won (bad): Orlando’s win over Chicago, with the Lakers loss, gives the Magic 5 more wins than the Lakers with 4 games to play and eliminates the possibility of the Lakers (or Sixers) passing Orlando in wins. This section will be removed from future draft pick trackers.
Lottery Odds - Lakers Pick
(Meaning, if the Lakers end up with the 4th worst record, there's a 17.2% chance that the Sixers will get the pick after the lottery).Finish | % Chance the Sixers get it |
|---|---|
| 1st or 2nd | 0% |
| 3rd | 4% |
| 4th | 17.2% |
| 5h | 44.8% |
| 6th | 78.5% |
Heat pick (top 10 protected, currently 10th):
- Boston won (bad): Recap: Sixers need 2 of Charlotte (33-45), Indiana (35-43), Brooklyn (36-42), and Boston (36-42) to finish with a worse record than Miami (35-43). Charlotte seems like a pretty safe bet at this point, as they’re 2 games back with only 4 games left. Just need one more to falter. I don’t think it will be Boston, as Utah and Indiana have tougher schedules to end the season, but a loss would have given me some peace of mind. 3 of those teams finishing with a worse record than Miami wouldn’t be the worst thing in the world, anyway, as it would keep Miami in the lottery. It’s 4 finishing with a worse record than Miami where the pick really starts to suffer.
- Brooklyn lost (good): Brooklyn lost, which keeps them 1 game up on Miami. They have a relatively easy schedule to end the season, so they’re not the one I’m counting on to finish with a worse record than Miami.
- Pacers won (bad): The Pacers win, their 3rd straight, has them in a tie with Miami for 10th/11th. The Pacers end the season with OKC, Washington, and Memphis, so hopefully that’s enough to allow Miami to pass them.
- Utah won (bad): Utah won, which keeps them a game ahead of Miami. Indy is the Sixers best chance to finish with a worse record than Miami, but Utah is probably the most likely second option.
Standings - Miami Pick
Slot | Team | Record | GB (on Miami) | Last 10 | Remaining |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9th | Hornets | 33-48 | -3.0 | 3-7 | @Raptors |
| 10th | Heat | 36-45 | -- | 3-7 | @Philadelphia |
| 11th | Nets | 37-44 | +1.0 | 6-4 | Orlando |
| 15th | Pacers | 38-43 | +2.0 | 6-4 | @Memphis |
Lottery Odds - Heat Pick
(Meaning, if the Heat end up with the 11th worst record, there's a 97.1% chance that the Sixers will get the pick after the lottery).Finish | % Chance the Sixers get it |
|---|---|
| 8th | ~0.01% |
| 9th | 0.4% |
| 10th | 9.1% |
| 11th | 97.1% |
| 12th | 97.4% |
Oklahoma City Thunder pick (top 18 protected, currently 18th):
- Washington won (bad): The Wizards beat the Sixers. Good for the Sixers pick, bad for the OKC pick. Washington is 3 wins up on OKC with 4 games left to play.
- New Orleans lost (good): New Orleans lost, keeping them in a tie with OKC for the final playoff spot out West.
Standings - Thunder Pick
Slot | Team | Record | GB (OKC) | Last 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14th | Pelicans | 43-36 | -- | 6-4 |
| Remaining: | @Rockets, @Wolves, Spurs | |||
| 18th | Thunder | 43-36 | -- | 4-6 |
| Remaining: | @Pacers, Blazers, @Wolves | |||
| 19th | Wizards | 45-34 | +2.0 | 5-5 |
| Remaining: | Hawks, @Pacers, @Cavs | |||
| 20th | Raptors | 47-32 | +4.0 | 6-4 |
| Remaining: | @Heat, @Celtics, Hornets | |||
Tonight’s games:
- Chicago @ Miami: Big game for Miami. Could use a Miami win here, as they need to finish with a better record than Indy or Utah.
I’m starting to think there is a strong possibility of a 3 or 4 way tie at 37 wins. Miami and Ind will probably go 2-2, Utah and Boston could easily go 1-3 against tough schedules and the Nets only have one easy game out of 4, although they are playing better.
Miami wins playoff tie-breaker heads-up with Boston and Brooklyn and loses to Ind and would win a multi-way if Brooklyn is in the mix. Then there would be a coin-flip for 10, 11, and 12th position. If Miami is in the coin flip, I believe we would have to wait until the May 19 lottery to know the result.
Yeah, there’s definitely a very real chance of a multi-team tie.
One clarification: coin flips happen before the lottery, usually only a few days after the end of the regular season. Last year the results were announced on April 18th.